Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.161001 0.181191 0.202336 0.226077 0.251936 0.279194 0.310043
2025-02-16 0.134754 0.162198 0.192401 0.227921 0.268357 0.312765 0.365024
2025-02-23 0.118740 0.151417 0.188921 0.234748 0.288812 0.350141 0.424527
2025-03-02 0.101550 0.136819 0.178930 0.232230 0.297168 0.372977 0.467380
2025-03-09 0.088941 0.126079 0.172052 0.232105 0.307368 0.397441 0.512155
2025-03-16 0.078038 0.116149 0.164966 0.230634 0.315096 0.418468 0.552784
2025-03-23 0.071447 0.111064 0.163364 0.235533 0.330436 0.448808 0.605210
2025-03-30 0.064058 0.104060 0.158491 0.235515 0.339015 0.470486 0.646991
2025-04-06 0.057581 0.097645 0.153776 0.235129 0.346686 0.490814 0.687177
2025-04-13 0.051927 0.091835 0.149355 0.234647 0.353865 0.510349 0.726467
2025-04-20 0.047689 0.087727 0.146966 0.236666 0.364235 0.534072 0.771491
2025-04-27 0.045069 0.085868 0.147650 0.242923 0.380461 0.565810 0.827598
2025-05-04 0.041064 0.081562 0.144583 0.243849 0.389638 0.588848 0.873520
2025-05-11 0.038135 0.078748 0.143563 0.247653 0.402924 0.617747 0.927940
2025-05-18 0.036467 0.077920 0.145542 0.255965 0.422884 0.656265 0.996219
2025-05-25 0.032791 0.073176 0.140906 0.253827 0.427340 0.673091 1.034903
2025-06-01 0.029937 0.069617 0.137914 0.253994 0.435059 0.694535 1.080260
2025-06-08 0.027086 0.065749 0.134103 0.252579 0.440203 0.712259 1.120588
2025-06-15 0.025633 0.064433 0.134525 0.257927 0.455705 0.745144 1.182833
2025-06-22 0.023467 0.061454 0.131823 0.257957 0.462895 0.765963 1.228156
2025-06-29 0.021439 0.058530 0.128992 0.257568 0.469304 0.785647 1.272074
2025-07-06 0.019581 0.055749 0.126209 0.257065 0.475412 0.804892 1.315572
2025-07-13 0.018228 0.053919 0.125048 0.259241 0.485779 0.830626 1.368867